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Serbia U21 vs Russia U21

Mon 5 Oct, 16:00

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 59%

Russia U21

Predicted Winner

1-7

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.74 - 6.67

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Serbia U21 last 3 at home: 2W-0D-1L (scored 3, conceded 3)

6 Russia U21 last 5 away: 3W-1D-1L (scored 14, conceded 4)

7 H2H (3): Russia U21 lead 3-0 (0D), avg 2.3 goals, BTTS 33%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Russia U21 with an estimated 59% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.74-6.67 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Russia U21, so treat this one with extra caution. Russia U21 lead the head-to-head 3-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 2.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 33% of meetings. Serbia U21 have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 at home (scoring 3, conceding 3), while Russia U21 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 14, conceding 4).