Brentwood Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge

Sat 3 Oct, 11:30

FT 3-1

AI Prediction

LOW 40%

Brentwood Town

Predicted Winner

3-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 3-1

Predicted: 3-1. Exact score correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 2.96 - 1.48

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Brentwood Town last 5 at home: 2W-1D-2L (scored 15, conceded 12)

6 Dagenham & Redbridge last 5 away: 1W-2D-2L (scored 4, conceded 6)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Brentwood Town with an estimated 40% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.96-1.48 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Dagenham & Redbridge, while the blended pick still favours Brentwood Town, so treat this one with extra caution. Brentwood Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 15, conceding 12), while Dagenham & Redbridge have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 6).