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Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue)

Sat 3 Oct, 14:00

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 50%

Guiseley AFC

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: poisson disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.48 - 1.48

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Guiseley AFC last 5 at home: 4W-0D-1L (scored 14, conceded 6)

6 Bradford (Park Avenue) last 5 away: 4W-0D-1L (scored 10, conceded 5)

7 H2H (7): Guiseley AFC lead 4-0 (3D), avg 2.9 goals, BTTS 43%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Guiseley AFC with an estimated 50% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.48-1.48 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the Poisson model leans toward Bradford (Park Avenue), while the blended pick still favours Guiseley AFC, so treat this one with extra caution. Guiseley AFC lead the head-to-head 4-0 (with 3 draws), averaging 2.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 43% of meetings. Guiseley AFC have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 14, conceding 6), while Bradford (Park Avenue) have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 10, conceding 5).