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Chesham United vs Real Bedford

Sat 3 Oct, 14:00

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 49%

Chesham United

Predicted Winner

5-3

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 5.19 - 2.96

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Chesham United last 5 at home: 2W-1D-2L (scored 12, conceded 10)

5 Real Bedford last 4 away: 4W-0D-0L (scored 11, conceded 3)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Chesham United with an estimated 49% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (5.19-2.96 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Chesham United have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 12, conceding 10), while Real Bedford have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 11, conceding 3).