⚽

Barton Town Old Boys vs Chorley

Sat 3 Oct, 14:00

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 56%

Chorley

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 0.37

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Barton Town Old Boys last 5 at home: 3W-0D-2L (scored 8, conceded 9)

6 Chorley last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 4, conceded 7)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Chorley with an estimated 56% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.00-0.37 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward Barton Town Old Boys, while the blended pick still favours Chorley, so treat this one with extra caution. Barton Town Old Boys have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 8, conceding 9), while Chorley have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 7).