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Truro City vs Merthyr Town

Tue 22 Sept, 18:45

FT 2-0

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 45%

Truro City

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

📊

Actual result: 2-0

Predicted: 1-0 — Winner: Correct!

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Truro City last 5 at home: 3W-1D-1L (scored 11, conceded 4)

5 H2H (6): even, 2D, avg 3.3 goals, BTTS 83%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Truro City with an estimated 45% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Truro City, so treat this one with extra caution. Truro City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 11, conceding 4). The head-to-head is even (2 win each, 2 draws in their last 6), averaging 3.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 83% of meetings.