Uganda vs Congo DR

Mon 5 Oct, 13:00

FT 1-1

AI Prediction

LOW 38%

Congo DR

Predicted Winner

0-1

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-1

Predicted: 0-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Uganda last 3 at home: 1W-1D-1L (scored 3, conceded 4)

5 Congo DR last 4 away: 1W-1D-2L (scored 4, conceded 5)

6 H2H (4): Uganda lead 2-1 (1D), avg 1.3 goals, BTTS 0%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Congo DR with an estimated 38% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward Uganda, while the blended pick still favours Congo DR, so treat this one with extra caution. Uganda have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 at home (scoring 3, conceding 4), while Congo DR have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 5). Uganda lead the head-to-head 2-1 (with 1 draw), averaging 1.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 0% of meetings.