England U19 vs Belgium U19

Mon 5 Oct, 11:00

FT 0-1

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 58%

England U19

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-1

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 1.23 - 0.49

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 England U19 last 5 at home: 4W-0D-1L (scored 7, conceded 5)

5 Belgium U19 last 5 away: 3W-1D-1L (scored 7, conceded 3)

6 H2H (2): England U19 lead 1-0 (1D), avg 2.5 goals, BTTS 50%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours England U19 with an estimated 58% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.23-0.49 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. England U19 have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 7, conceding 5), while Belgium U19 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 3). England U19 lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 1 draw), averaging 2.5 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings.