Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka

Thu 15 Oct, 16:45

FT 2-1

AI Prediction

LOW 49%

Panathinaikos

Predicted Winner

3-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-1

Predicted: 3-0. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: poisson, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 2.47 - 3.29

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Panathinaikos last 5 at home: 4W-1D-0L (scored 12, conceded 4)

6 Borac Banja Luka last 4 away: 2W-1D-1L (scored 7, conceded 6)

7 H2H (1): even, 1D, avg 2.0 goals, BTTS 100%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Panathinaikos with an estimated 49% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.47-3.29 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the Poisson model leans toward Borac Banja Luka, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Panathinaikos, so treat this one with extra caution. Panathinaikos have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 12, conceding 4), while Borac Banja Luka have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 6). All 1 of their last meetings have ended in a draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 100% of meetings.