Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan

Thu 15 Oct, 16:45

FT 0-4

AI Prediction

LOW 47%

AC Milan

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-4

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Red Bull Salzburg last 5 at home: 4W-0D-1L (scored 16, conceded 4)

5 AC Milan last 5 away: 2W-3D-0L (scored 10, conceded 7)

6 H2H (2): AC Milan lead 1-0 (1D), avg 3.0 goals, BTTS 50%

7 Red Bull Salzburg without: E. Aguilar, A. Chase (+18 more)

8 AC Milan without: M. Gabbia, A. Saelemaekers (+6 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours AC Milan with an estimated 47% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours AC Milan, so treat this one with extra caution. Red Bull Salzburg have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 16, conceding 4), while AC Milan have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 10, conceding 7). AC Milan lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 1 draw), averaging 3.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. Red Bull Salzburg without: E. Aguilar, A. Chase (+18 more); AC Milan without: M. Gabbia, A. Saelemaekers (+6 more).