Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad

Thu 15 Oct, 16:45

FT 1-1

AI Prediction

LOW 42%

Union St. Gilloise

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-1

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 Union St. Gilloise last 4 at home: 2W-2D-0L (scored 9, conceded 1)

4 Real Sociedad last 4 away: 2W-0D-2L (scored 7, conceded 9)

5 Union St. Gilloise without: A. Ait El Hadj, R. Florucz (+18 more)

6 Real Sociedad without: J. Aramburu, L. Beitia (+4 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Union St. Gilloise with an estimated 42% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Union St. Gilloise have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 at home (scoring 9, conceding 1), while Real Sociedad have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 9). Union St. Gilloise without: A. Ait El Hadj, R. Florucz (+18 more); Real Sociedad without: J. Aramburu, L. Beitia (+4 more).