Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica

Thu 22 Oct, 19:00

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 50%

Benfica

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: poisson, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.40 - 0.82

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Omonia Nicosia last 5 at home: 2W-2D-1L (scored 7, conceded 4)

6 Benfica last 5 away: 4W-0D-1L (scored 13, conceded 4)

7 Omonia Nicosia without: B. Akintola, C. Eiting (+4 more)

8 Benfica without: D. Banjaqui, E. Barrenechea (+4 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Benfica with an estimated 50% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.40-0.82 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the Poisson model leans toward Omonia Nicosia, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Benfica, so treat this one with extra caution. Omonia Nicosia have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 7, conceding 4), while Benfica have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 13, conceding 4). Omonia Nicosia without: B. Akintola, C. Eiting (+4 more); Benfica without: D. Banjaqui, E. Barrenechea (+4 more).