NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia

Thu 15 Oct, 19:00

FT 1-1

AI Prediction

LOW 36%

NEC Nijmegen

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-1

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 NEC Nijmegen last 4 at home: 0W-2D-2L (scored 5, conceded 9)

5 Levski Sofia last 5 away: 3W-1D-1L (scored 7, conceded 6)

6 NEC Nijmegen without: I. Hansen-Aaroen, E. Mor (+14 more)

7 Levski Sofia without: P. Hristov, O. Kamdem (+12 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours NEC Nijmegen with an estimated 36% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours NEC Nijmegen, so treat this one with extra caution. NEC Nijmegen have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 at home (scoring 5, conceding 9), while Levski Sofia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 6). NEC Nijmegen without: I. Hansen-Aaroen, E. Mor (+14 more); Levski Sofia without: P. Hristov, O. Kamdem (+12 more).