Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Thu 15 Oct, 19:00

FT 0-1

AI Prediction

LOW 36%

Olympiakos Piraeus

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-1

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Marseille last 5 at home: 2W-0D-3L (scored 11, conceded 8)

5 Olympiakos Piraeus last 5 away: 3W-1D-1L (scored 8, conceded 3)

6 H2H (4): even, 0D, avg 1.5 goals, BTTS 25%

7 Marseille without: D. Cornelius, P. Hojbjerg (+2 more)

8 Olympiakos Piraeus without: Clayton, A. El Kaabi (+12 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Olympiakos Piraeus with an estimated 36% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Marseille, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Olympiakos Piraeus, so treat this one with extra caution. Marseille have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 11, conceding 8), while Olympiakos Piraeus have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 3). The head-to-head is even (2 win each, 0 draws in their last 4), averaging 1.5 goals per game with both teams scoring in 25% of meetings. Marseille without: D. Cornelius, P. Hojbjerg (+2 more); Olympiakos Piraeus without: Clayton, A. El Kaabi (+12 more).