Lyon vs Crystal Palace

Thu 15 Oct, 16:45

FT 3-2

AI Prediction

LOW 36%

Crystal Palace

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 3-2

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Lyon last 5 at home: 3W-1D-1L (scored 12, conceded 4)

5 Crystal Palace last 4 away: 1W-1D-2L (scored 3, conceded 7)

6 H2H (1): Crystal Palace lead 1-0 (0D), avg 2.0 goals, BTTS 0%

7 Lyon without: L. Openda, M. Ouedraogo (+4 more)

8 Crystal Palace without: B. Chilwell, C. Doucoure (+16 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Crystal Palace with an estimated 36% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Lyon, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Crystal Palace, so treat this one with extra caution. Lyon have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 12, conceding 4), while Crystal Palace have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 3, conceding 7). Crystal Palace lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 0% of meetings. Lyon without: L. Openda, M. Ouedraogo (+4 more); Crystal Palace without: B. Chilwell, C. Doucoure (+16 more).