Lech Poznan vs Sunderland

Thu 22 Oct, 16:45

AI Prediction

LOW 49%

Sunderland

Predicted Winner

2-3

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.86 - 1.86

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Lech Poznan last 5 at home: 3W-1D-1L (scored 14, conceded 8)

6 Sunderland last 5 away: 1W-1D-3L (scored 7, conceded 11)

7 Lech Poznan without: A. Douglas, A. Gholizadeh (+12 more)

8 Sunderland without: J. Angulo, D. Ballard (+18 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Sunderland with an estimated 49% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.86-1.86 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Sunderland, so treat this one with extra caution. Lech Poznan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 14, conceding 8), while Sunderland have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 11). Lech Poznan without: A. Douglas, A. Gholizadeh (+12 more); Sunderland without: J. Angulo, D. Ballard (+18 more).