Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen

Thu 15 Oct, 16:45

FT 0-4

AI Prediction

LOW 45%

Bayer Leverkusen

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-4

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Lech Poznan last 5 at home: 4W-1D-0L (scored 17, conceded 4)

5 Bayer Leverkusen last 5 away: 3W-1D-1L (scored 14, conceded 9)

6 Lech Poznan without: A. Douglas, A. Gholizadeh (+8 more)

7 Bayer Leverkusen without: V. Boniface, M. Culbreath (+14 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Bayer Leverkusen with an estimated 45% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward Lech Poznan, while the blended pick still favours Bayer Leverkusen, so treat this one with extra caution. Lech Poznan have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 at home (scoring 17, conceding 4), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 14, conceding 9). Lech Poznan without: A. Douglas, A. Gholizadeh (+8 more); Bayer Leverkusen without: V. Boniface, M. Culbreath (+14 more).