Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen

Thu 22 Oct, 16:45

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 54%

Dinamo Zagreb

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 3.50 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Dinamo Zagreb last 3 at home: 3W-0D-0L (scored 5, conceded 2)

5 NEC Nijmegen last 5 away: 1W-1D-3L (scored 4, conceded 13)

6 Dinamo Zagreb without: R. Mudrazija, I. Nevistic (+10 more)

7 NEC Nijmegen without: M. Bakker, I. Hansen-Aaroen (+16 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Dinamo Zagreb with an estimated 54% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (3.50-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Dinamo Zagreb have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 at home (scoring 5, conceding 2), while NEC Nijmegen have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 13). Dinamo Zagreb without: R. Mudrazija, I. Nevistic (+10 more); NEC Nijmegen without: M. Bakker, I. Hansen-Aaroen (+16 more).