Bournemouth vs AC Milan

Thu 22 Oct, 19:00

AI Prediction

LOW 47%

Bournemouth

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Bournemouth last 5 at home: 3W-1D-1L (scored 11, conceded 3)

5 AC Milan last 5 away: 2W-3D-0L (scored 10, conceded 5)

6 Bournemouth without: M. Aarons, J. Araujo (+14 more)

7 AC Milan without: W. Bondo, S. Chukwueze (+10 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Bournemouth with an estimated 47% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.00-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Bournemouth have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 11, conceding 3), while AC Milan have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 10, conceding 5). Bournemouth without: M. Aarons, J. Araujo (+14 more); AC Milan without: W. Bondo, S. Chukwueze (+10 more).