AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

Thu 15 Oct, 16:45

FT 2-1

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 52%

AZ Alkmaar

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-1

Predicted: 2-1. Exact score correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 AZ Alkmaar last 4 at home: 3W-1D-0L (scored 9, conceded 3)

5 Hapoel Beer Sheva last 5 away: 3W-0D-2L (scored 8, conceded 10)

6 AZ Alkmaar without: J. Hornkamp, S. Resink (+6 more)

7 Hapoel Beer Sheva without: D. Biton, Y. Stoyanov (+2 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours AZ Alkmaar with an estimated 52% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours AZ Alkmaar, so treat this one with extra caution. AZ Alkmaar have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 at home (scoring 9, conceding 3), while Hapoel Beer Sheva have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 8, conceding 10). AZ Alkmaar without: J. Hornkamp, S. Resink (+6 more); Hapoel Beer Sheva without: D. Biton, Y. Stoyanov (+2 more).