Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC

Wed 14 Oct, 19:00

FT 3-1

AI Prediction

LOW 40%

AEK Athens FC

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 3-1

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Shakhtar Donetsk last 4 at home: 3W-0D-1L (scored 8, conceded 2)

5 AEK Athens FC last 4 away: 2W-2D-0L (scored 6, conceded 3)

6 H2H (1): AEK Athens FC lead 1-0 (0D), avg 5.0 goals, BTTS 0%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours AEK Athens FC with an estimated 40% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours AEK Athens FC, so treat this one with extra caution. Shakhtar Donetsk have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 8, conceding 2), while AEK Athens FC have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 3). AEK Athens FC lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 5.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 0% of meetings.