Lens vs Sporting CP

Tue 13 Oct, 16:45

FT 0-2

AI Prediction

LOW 39%

Sporting CP

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-2

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Lens last 5 at home: 3W-0D-2L (scored 8, conceded 6)

5 Sporting CP last 4 away: 2W-2D-0L (scored 10, conceded 4)

6 Lens without: J. Chavez, M. Diarra (+10 more)

7 Sporting CP without: Z. Debast, N. Santos (+4 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Sporting CP with an estimated 39% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Lens, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Sporting CP, so treat this one with extra caution. Lens have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 8, conceding 6), while Sporting CP have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 10, conceding 4). Lens without: J. Chavez, M. Diarra (+10 more); Sporting CP without: Z. Debast, N. Santos (+4 more).