Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart

Tue 3 Nov, 17:45

FT 2-0

AI Prediction

LOW 36%

VfB Stuttgart

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-0

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 5.87

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Galatasaray last 4 at home: 3W-0D-1L (scored 7, conceded 6)

6 VfB Stuttgart last 5 away: 4W-0D-1L (scored 10, conceded 3)

7 Galatasaray without: E. Aydin, K. Ayhan (+10 more)

8 VfB Stuttgart without: J. Diehl, S. Drljaca (+12 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours VfB Stuttgart with an estimated 36% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.00-5.87 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Galatasaray, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours VfB Stuttgart, so treat this one with extra caution. Galatasaray have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 7, conceding 6), while VfB Stuttgart have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 10, conceding 3). Galatasaray without: E. Aydin, K. Ayhan (+10 more); VfB Stuttgart without: J. Diehl, S. Drljaca (+12 more).