FC Porto vs Napoli

Wed 4 Nov, 20:00

FT 4-1

AI Prediction

LOW 38%

FC Porto

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 4-1

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 FC Porto last 5 at home: 3W-0D-2L (scored 8, conceded 4)

5 Napoli last 5 away: 1W-1D-3L (scored 6, conceded 8)

6 FC Porto without: Gabriel Mec, D. Prpic (+10 more)

7 Napoli without: Alisson Santos, B. Badiashile (+20 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours FC Porto with an estimated 38% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours FC Porto, so treat this one with extra caution. FC Porto have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 8, conceding 4), while Napoli have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 8). FC Porto without: Gabriel Mec, D. Prpic (+10 more); Napoli without: Alisson Santos, B. Badiashile (+20 more).