Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe

Wed 14 Oct, 19:00

FT 6-0

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 54%

Aston Villa

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 6-0

Predicted: 2-1. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 Aston Villa last 3 at home: 0W-1D-2L (scored 3, conceded 5)

4 Fenerbahçe last 5 away: 4W-1D-0L (scored 9, conceded 1)

5 H2H (1): Aston Villa lead 1-0 (0D), avg 1.0 goals, BTTS 0%

6 Aston Villa without: M. Cisse, T. Harwood-Bellis (+12 more)

7 Fenerbahçe without: A. Diouf, A. Fall (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Aston Villa with an estimated 54% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Aston Villa have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 at home (scoring 3, conceding 5), while Fenerbahçe have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 9, conceding 1). Aston Villa lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 1.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 0% of meetings. Aston Villa without: M. Cisse, T. Harwood-Bellis (+12 more); Fenerbahçe without: A. Diouf, A. Fall (+8 more).