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South Korea vs Venezuela

Fri 2 Oct, 11:00

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 47%

South Korea

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: poisson disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.48 - 1.78

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 South Korea last 5 at home: 4W-0D-1L (scored 12, conceded 5)

6 Venezuela last 5 away: 1W-1D-3L (scored 3, conceded 5)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours South Korea with an estimated 47% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.48-1.78 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the Poisson model leans toward Venezuela, while the blended pick still favours South Korea, so treat this one with extra caution. South Korea have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 12, conceding 5), while Venezuela have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 3, conceding 5).