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Mexico vs Colombia

Sun 27 Sept, 01:00

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 36%

Mexico

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 Mexico last 5 at home: 4W-0D-1L (scored 12, conceded 4)

4 Colombia last 5: 3W-2D-0L (scored 5, conceded 1)

5 H2H (3): Colombia lead 3-0 (0D), avg 4.7 goals, BTTS 67%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Mexico with an estimated 36% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Colombia lead the head-to-head 3-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 4.7 goals per game with both teams scoring in 67% of meetings. Mexico have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 12, conceding 4), while Colombia have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 (scoring 5, conceding 1).