Fri 5 Jun, 11:10
Tokito Oda dominates the H2H 3-0, including two decisive 2-0 victories on red clay (06.06.25 and 05.09.25). He's won 5 of last 6 matches with 67% win rate and 3-2 record on red clay. Martin de la Puente has only 1 red clay match in recent form (W vs Miki), whereas Oda thrives on clay. Both played yesterday, so fatigue is equal. Oda's recent form is stronger, and the semifinal context favors the higher-performing player. Fan vote (80% home) aligns with data.
Perfect H2H record (3-0) with dominant clay performances and superior recent form on this surface.
Oda's last two clay wins were 2-0 (6-4, 6-4) and (6-2, 5-7, 6-0); de la Puente struggles on clay and has lost decisively to Oda before.
Oda's 3-0 H2H includes two straight-set wins; de la Puente's 3-set rate is only 17%, suggesting clean losses when outmatched.
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