Cambodia vs Bhutan

Cambodia is heavily favored (80.7% fair probability) despite sparse recent data. Their form shows 1.0 goals scored per match with 50% BTTS rate; Bhutan has collapsed (0 wins in 6, 0.3 goals/match, 83% failed-to-score rate). The 203-day gap for Cambodia and 65-day gap for Bhutan suggest both are rusty, but Bhutan's catastrophic attacking (0 goals in last 4 away matches) and 5.3 conceded per game make them extremely vulnerable. Over 2.5 is supported by both teams' 83% O2.5 rate in recent form, though Bhutan's inability to score limits BTTS upside. Home advantage + massive skill gap justifies the odds.

Cambodia's superior form (1.0 goals/match vs Bhutan's 0.3) and Bhutan's 6-match losing streak with 5.3 conceded per game make home a strong play despite long layoff.

Bhutan's 83% failed-to-score rate and 0 goals in last 4 away matches make both-teams-score unlikely despite Cambodia's 50% BTTS rate.

Both teams' recent form shows 83% Over 2.5 rate; Cambodia's 2.3 goals conceded per match and Bhutan's 5.3 conceded support multiple goals, though Bhutan's attacking weakness limits total.

Home win or draw covers 93.8% fair probability; Bhutan's 6-match losing streak makes away win extremely unlikely.