Andorra vs Liechtenstein

Both teams are in severe form collapse (Andorra 1pt/6, Liechtenstein 0pts/6), averaging 0.2 goals scored with 2.2-2.3 conceded. This is a clash of two of Europe's weakest sides. Andorra has marginal home advantage and slightly better recent record (1 draw vs 6 losses). Liechtenstein hasn't scored in 6 consecutive matches. Poisson data unavailable limits precision. Market prices home at 60.4% fair, draw at 28%, away at 11.6%. Given extreme defensive vulnerability of both teams, low-scoring outcomes dominate recent patterns (BTTS 17% for both, clean sheet rates near 0-17%). Friendly context adds unpredictability. Home edge is real but minimal given quality gap.

Andorra home edge and one recent draw vs Liechtenstein's six consecutive losses justify slight home lean, but quality gap is minimal and friendly context adds noise.

Both teams show 17% BTTS rate and 83% fail-to-score rate; Liechtenstein hasn't scored in 6 matches; defensive vulnerability high but attacking output too weak to sustain both-score outcomes.

Market fair 67.3% Under reflects reality; combined avg goals 0.4 per team, Andorra 67% O2.5 rate offset by Liechtenstein 50% O2.5 rate and 6-match scoreless streak.

Home or draw (88.4% fair combined) is safer than away (11.6%), but confidence is low due to unpredictability of two historically weak sides in friendly context.