South Korea vs El Salvador

South Korea is a clear class above El Salvador. Recent form shows SK averaging 2.3 goals/match with 67% BTTS and O2.5 rates, while El Salvador averages 0.8 goals/match with only 33% O2.5 rate and 50% FTS rate. SK's 11/18 points vs El Salvador's 6/18 confirms the gap. Odds heavily favor SK (1.13, 80.9% fair), but the Over 2.5 at 63.7% fair is underpriced given SK's attacking output and El Salvador's weak defense (1.3 conceded avg). El Salvador's 66-day layoff and missing Brayan Gil further weaken them. SK's Hwang In-beom injury is notable but not decisive. Schedule advantage (SK played 3 days ago vs El Salvador's 66-day rest) slightly favors SK's rhythm.

South Korea's superior form (11 pts vs 6 pts), attacking output (2.3 vs 0.8 goals), and defensive solidity justify heavy home favorite despite injury to Hwang In-beom.

El Salvador's 50% FTS rate and weak recent form (1 win in 6) suggests they will struggle to score against SK's defense; SK's 17% conceded rate supports clean sheet.

South Korea's 67% O2.5 rate and 2.3 goals/match average, combined with El Salvador's weak defense (1.3 conceded), makes Over 2.5 value despite 63.7% fair odds.

Home win or draw covers 94% of outcomes; draw at 13.1% fair is legitimate given international friendly context, but home is primary pick.