France vs Côte d'Ivoire

France is a clear favorite with 1.29 odds, supported by superior recent form (WDLWWD vs WDWWDW) and dominant home record (3.7 goals scored, 50% clean sheet rate). Côte d'Ivoire's defensive strength (0.7 conceded avg) and low scoring output (1.5 avg) suggest a low-scoring win for France rather than a rout. Recent form shows France averaging 3.7 goals but last two matches were 3-0 and 0-0, indicating variability. Saliba's absence weakens France's defense slightly but not enough to alter the outcome. BTTS unlikely given Côte d'Ivoire's 17% failed-to-score rate. Over 2.5 leans slightly above 50-50 given France's attacking threat and Côte d'Ivoire's modest defensive record in away games.

France's home dominance and attacking record heavily outweighs Côte d'Ivoire's defensive solidity; 1.29 odds justified.

Côte d'Ivoire's 17% failed-to-score rate and low offensive output (1.5 avg) make both-teams-score unlikely despite 50% BTTS rate in their form.

France's 3.7 goals-scored average at home and Côte d'Ivoire's modest away defensive record push expected total slightly above 2.5; fair 59% supports slight lean Over.

France win or draw covers 94.3% of market probability; draw is unlikely given form gap but provides insurance against upset.