Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar

Mon 5 Oct, 18:45

FT 0-2

AI Prediction

LOW 38%

Gibraltar

Predicted Winner

0-1

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-2

Predicted: 0-1. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Liechtenstein last 3 at home: 0W-0D-3L (scored 0, conceded 5)

5 Gibraltar last 4 away: 0W-1D-3L (scored 1, conceded 11)

6 H2H (7): Gibraltar lead 3-1 (3D), avg 2.0 goals, BTTS 43%

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Gibraltar with an estimated 38% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Liechtenstein, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Gibraltar, so treat this one with extra caution. Gibraltar lead the head-to-head 3-1 (with 3 draws), averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 43% of meetings. Liechtenstein have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 at home (scoring 0, conceding 5), while Gibraltar have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 1, conceding 11).