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RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV

Sun 13 Sept, 13:30

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 50%

RB Leipzig

Predicted Winner

3-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Poisson xG model: 3.13 - 0.00

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 RB Leipzig last 3 at home: 3W-0D-0L (scored 8, conceded 0)

4 Hamburger SV last 5 away: 3W-0D-2L (scored 10, conceded 7)

5 H2H (8): RB Leipzig lead 6-1 (1D), avg 3.1 goals, BTTS 50%

6 RB Leipzig without: C. Baumgartner, R. Reitz (+2 more)

7 Hamburger SV without: K. Amoako, S. Bornauw (+4 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours RB Leipzig with an estimated 50% win probability, based on a Poisson xG model (3.13-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. RB Leipzig lead the head-to-head 6-1 (with 1 draw), averaging 3.1 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. RB Leipzig have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 at home (scoring 8, conceding 0), while Hamburger SV have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 10, conceding 7). RB Leipzig without: C. Baumgartner, R. Reitz (+2 more); Hamburger SV without: K. Amoako, S. Bornauw (+4 more).