Sat 12 Sept, 12:00
The model favours Alaves with an estimated 37% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Racing Santander, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Alaves, so treat this one with extra caution. Racing Santander have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 10, conceding 9), while Alaves have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 2). Racing Santander without: S. Eriksson, A. Martin (+2 more); Alaves without: F. Garces, M. Rodriguez (+2 more).
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