Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Real Madrid dominates on form (W4 streak, 2.1 avg goals scored, 40% CS rate) and H2H (7W-2D-1L, avg 2.7 goals). Real Sociedad in freefall (L4, 0 pts, 0 goals in last match, 0% CS rate). Madrid's heavy injury list (Militao, Mendy, Rodrygo, Tchouameni) is concerning but Sociedad equally depleted. Market odds (76% home) slightly overstate confidence given Madrid's defensive absences; however, Sociedad's attacking impotence (1.4 avg scored, 20% FTS rate) and Madrid's recent dominance justify home win. BTTS unlikely: Sociedad failed to score last match, Madrid's CS rate 40% despite injuries. Under 2.5 leans slightly given both teams' recent low-scoring patterns and Madrid's injury-hit defense.

Madrid's W4 form and 7-2-1 H2H dominance vs Sociedad's L4 and 0 pts justify home win despite injury concerns.

Sociedad's 0% CS rate offset by 20% FTS rate and 0 goals last match; Madrid's 40% CS rate and defensive injuries suggest low-scoring.

Both teams' recent form trending low-scoring; Madrid's injury-hit defense and Sociedad's attacking impotence (1.4 avg) favor Under.

Home/Draw at 1.06 (94.3%) is near-certain; Madrid's dominance makes draw unlikely but injury risk justifies slight hedge.

Madrid's W4 and 7-2-1 H2H suggest 2+ goal margin likely; -1.5 at 1.8 (55.6%) offers value over -1 at 1.42 (70.4%).

Madrid's 2.1 avg scored and Sociedad's 0 goals last match support Madrid Over 1.5 and Sociedad Under 0.5.

No recent corner data; Madrid's dominance typically drives 9-11 corners in one-sided matches; Under 10.5 at 1.7 (58.8%) slight lean.

No recent card data; La Liga baseline ~4-5 cards; Sociedad's frustration (L4) may elevate discipline; Over 4.5 slight lean.