Lithuania vs Georgia

Analysis of this friendly match between Lithuania and Georgia indicates a clear advantage for the visiting team. Georgia shows significantly better attacking form with an average of 2.8 goals per match in their last 6 games, including impressive victories against Thailand (8-0) and Cyprus (4-0). While they lost to Spain, which is expected against such a strong opponent, their goal-scoring ability remains constant - they haven't failed to score in any of their last 6 matches. Lithuania, on the other hand, shows a more defensive approach with an average of only 1.0 goals per match. Their form of 6 points from 6 matches (DDLDLW) indicates inconsistency, especially in attack where they failed to score in 33% of cases. A key factor is that Georgia has a 100% rate of matches over 2.5 goals in recent form, while Lithuania has only 33%. The BTTS rate of 67% for Georgia and 50% for Lithuania, combined with the fact that Lithuania rarely fails to score at home, suggests both teams will score. Market odds favor Georgia with 57.8% probability, which seems justified based on form and statistical indicators. The friendly nature of the match may lead to more open football, further supporting the scenario with goals.

Georgia shows better form and attacking strength, with consistent goal scoring in last 6 matches

Georgia has 67% BTTS rate, and Lithuania rarely fails to score at home in friendly matches

Georgia has 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent form, combined with open style of friendly matches

Covers both draw and Georgia win, which is safer approach in friendly match