Bristol City vs Wolves

Wed 4 Nov, 20:00

FT 1-2

AI Prediction

LOW 47%

Wolves

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-2

Predicted: 1-2. Exact score correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.51 - 1.14

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Bristol City last 4 at home: 1W-0D-3L (scored 1, conceded 3)

6 Wolves last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 5, conceded 5)

7 H2H (10): Wolves lead 7-2 (1D), avg 3.3 goals, BTTS 80%

8 Bristol City without: N. Eile, E. Adebayo (+4 more)

9 Wolves without: R. Jimenez, G. Konan (+8 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Wolves with an estimated 47% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.51-1.14 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Wolves, so treat this one with extra caution. Wolves lead the head-to-head 7-2 (with 1 draw), averaging 3.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 80% of meetings. Bristol City have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 at home (scoring 1, conceding 3), while Wolves have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 5, conceding 5). Bristol City without: N. Eile, E. Adebayo (+4 more); Wolves without: R. Jimenez, G. Konan (+8 more).