Preston vs Sheffield Utd

Tue 3 Nov, 19:45

FT 2-3

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 50%

Sheffield Utd

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 2-3

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.76 - 1.52

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Preston last 5 at home: 1W-1D-3L (scored 4, conceded 7)

6 Sheffield Utd last 5 away: 2W-0D-3L (scored 6, conceded 7)

7 H2H (10): Sheffield Utd lead 5-2 (3D), avg 3.3 goals, BTTS 60%

8 Preston without: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs (+6 more)

9 Sheffield Utd without: M. Doherty, L. Kitching (+14 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Sheffield Utd with an estimated 50% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.76-1.52 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Sheffield Utd, so treat this one with extra caution. Sheffield Utd lead the head-to-head 5-2 (with 3 draws), averaging 3.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. Preston have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 4, conceding 7), while Sheffield Utd have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 7). Preston without: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs (+6 more); Sheffield Utd without: M. Doherty, L. Kitching (+14 more).