West Brom vs Blackburn

Sat 17 Oct, 14:00

FT 3-2

AI Prediction

LOW 46%

West Brom

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 3-2

Predicted: 1-0. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 0.99 - 0.66

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 West Brom last 5 at home: 2W-2D-1L (scored 6, conceded 4)

5 Blackburn last 4 away: 1W-2D-1L (scored 4, conceded 4)

6 H2H (10): even, 4D, avg 1.9 goals, BTTS 50%

7 West Brom without: N. Galves, M. Johnston (+2 more)

8 Blackburn without: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland (+10 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours West Brom with an estimated 46% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.99-0.66 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. West Brom have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 6, conceding 4), while Blackburn have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 4, conceding 4). The head-to-head is even (3 win each, 4 draws in their last 10), averaging 1.9 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. West Brom without: N. Galves, M. Johnston (+2 more); Blackburn without: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland (+10 more).