Southampton vs Bolton

Sat 17 Oct, 14:00

FT 0-0

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 69%

Southampton

Predicted Winner

5-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-0

Predicted: 5-1. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 4.82 - 0.99

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Southampton last 5 at home: 4W-0D-1L (scored 14, conceded 7)

5 Bolton last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 9, conceded 11)

6 Southampton without: F. Downes, F. Downes

7 Bolton without: C. Forino-Joseph, C. Forino-Joseph

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Southampton with an estimated 69% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (4.82-0.99 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Southampton have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 14, conceding 7), while Bolton have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 9, conceding 11). Southampton without: F. Downes, F. Downes; Bolton without: C. Forino-Joseph, C. Forino-Joseph.