Lincoln vs West Ham

Wed 14 Oct, 19:00

FT 0-6

AI Prediction

MEDIUM 57%

West Ham

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-6

Predicted: 1-2. Winner: Correct!

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.91 - 2.08

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Lincoln last 4 at home: 0W-2D-2L (scored 3, conceded 6)

6 West Ham last 4 away: 2W-2D-0L (scored 10, conceded 6)

7 H2H (1): West Ham lead 1-0 (0D), avg 1.0 goals, BTTS 0%

8 Lincoln without: T. Darikwa, M. Melia (+2 more)

9 West Ham without: K. Lamadrid, K. Lamadrid

Detailed Analysis

The model favours West Ham with an estimated 57% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.91-2.08 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours West Ham, so treat this one with extra caution. Lincoln have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 at home (scoring 3, conceding 6), while West Ham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 10, conceding 6). West Ham lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 1.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 0% of meetings. Lincoln without: T. Darikwa, M. Melia (+2 more); West Ham without: K. Lamadrid, K. Lamadrid.