Wrexham vs West Brom

Tue 13 Oct, 18:45

FT 1-2

AI Prediction

LOW 35%

Wrexham

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 1-2

Predicted: 1-0. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 1.10 - 0.88

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Wrexham last 4 at home: 1W-2D-1L (scored 5, conceded 5)

6 West Brom last 5 away: 2W-0D-3L (scored 6, conceded 8)

7 H2H (2): West Brom lead 1-0 (1D), avg 4.5 goals, BTTS 100%

8 Wrexham without: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace (+14 more)

9 West Brom without: N. Galves, M. Johnston (+2 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Wrexham with an estimated 35% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (1.10-0.88 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Wrexham, so treat this one with extra caution. Wrexham have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 5, conceding 5), while West Brom have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 6, conceding 8). West Brom lead the head-to-head 1-0 (with 1 draw), averaging 4.5 goals per game with both teams scoring in 100% of meetings. Wrexham without: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace (+14 more); West Brom without: N. Galves, M. Johnston (+2 more).