Bristol City vs Blackburn

Tue 13 Oct, 18:45

FT 0-1

AI Prediction

LOW 41%

Bristol City

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

Actual result: 0-1

Predicted: 1-0. Winner: Incorrect

Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: poisson disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.80 - 0.88

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Bristol City last 4 at home: 2W-0D-2L (scored 3, conceded 4)

6 Blackburn last 4 away: 0W-3D-1L (scored 5, conceded 6)

7 H2H (10): Bristol City lead 5-3 (2D), avg 2.8 goals, BTTS 60%

8 Bristol City without: R. Dickie, N. Eile (+8 more)

9 Blackburn without: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland (+12 more)

Detailed Analysis

The model favours Bristol City with an estimated 41% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.80-0.88 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the Poisson model leans toward Blackburn, while the blended pick still favours Bristol City, so treat this one with extra caution. Bristol City lead the head-to-head 5-3 (with 2 draws), averaging 2.8 goals per game with both teams scoring in 60% of meetings. Bristol City have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 at home (scoring 3, conceding 4), while Blackburn have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 5, conceding 6). Bristol City without: R. Dickie, N. Eile (+8 more); Blackburn without: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland (+12 more).