⚽

Sheffield Utd vs Wolves

Sun 13 Sept, 11:00

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 48%

Wolves

Predicted Winner

2-3

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 2.15 - 2.69

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Sheffield Utd last 3 at home: 1W-1D-1L (scored 4, conceded 5)

6 Wolves last 5 away: 3W-1D-1L (scored 11, conceded 7)

7 H2H (10): Wolves lead 6-3 (1D), avg 2.0 goals, BTTS 20%

8 Sheffield Utd without: H. Burrows, T. Chong (+6 more)

9 Wolves without: S. Bueno, Y. Mosquera (+4 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Wolves with an estimated 48% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.15-2.69 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Wolves, so treat this one with extra caution. Wolves lead the head-to-head 6-3 (with 1 draw), averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 20% of meetings. Sheffield Utd have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 at home (scoring 4, conceding 5), while Wolves have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 11, conceding 7). Sheffield Utd without: H. Burrows, T. Chong (+6 more); Wolves without: S. Bueno, Y. Mosquera (+4 more).