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Le Mans vs Lens

Sun 13 Sept, 15:15

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 58%

Le Mans

Predicted Winner

3-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Poisson xG model: 2.87 - 1.43

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 Le Mans last 5 at home: 2W-2D-1L (scored 7, conceded 5)

4 Lens last 3 away: 2W-0D-1L (scored 7, conceded 4)

5 H2H (5): even, 1D, avg 3.0 goals, BTTS 80%

6 Le Mans without: L. Buades, E. Colas (+10 more)

7 Lens without: S. Abdulhamid, S. Baidoo (+10 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Le Mans with an estimated 58% win probability, based on a Poisson xG model (2.87-1.43 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Le Mans have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 7, conceding 5), while Lens have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 4). The head-to-head is even (2 win each, 1 draws in their last 5), averaging 3.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 80% of meetings. Le Mans without: L. Buades, E. Colas (+10 more); Lens without: S. Abdulhamid, S. Baidoo (+10 more).