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Genoa vs Frosinone

Sat 12 Sept, 13:00

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 35%

Frosinone

Predicted Winner

0-6

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: market, apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 6.34

4 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

5 Genoa last 5 at home: 1W-1D-3L (scored 7, conceded 10)

6 Frosinone last 5: 3W-1D-1L (scored 11, conceded 5)

7 Genoa without: E. Havel, L. Venturino (+2 more)

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Frosinone with an estimated 35% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.00-6.34 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — the market leans toward Genoa, API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Frosinone, so treat this one with extra caution. Genoa have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 7, conceding 10), while Frosinone have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 (scoring 11, conceding 5). Genoa without: E. Havel, L. Venturino (+2 more).