Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka

The model favours Dinamo Zagreb with an estimated 63% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (2.74-0.32 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Dinamo Zagreb lead the head-to-head 5-1 (with 4 draws), averaging 2.2 goals per game with both teams scoring in 40% of meetings. Dinamo Zagreb have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 7, conceding 6), while HNK Rijeka have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 14, conceding 7).