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Armenia vs Latvia

Fri 25 Sept, 16:00

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 51%

Armenia

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 Armenia last 5 at home: 1W-2D-2L (scored 5, conceded 6)

4 Latvia last 5 away: 1W-2D-2L (scored 3, conceded 4)

5 H2H (4): Armenia lead 3-1 (0D), avg 3.3 goals, BTTS 75%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Armenia with an estimated 51% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Armenia lead the head-to-head 3-1 (with 0 draws), averaging 3.3 goals per game with both teams scoring in 75% of meetings. Armenia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 5, conceding 6), while Latvia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 3, conceding 4).