Iraq vs Norway

Norway is a clear favorite despite extreme odds (1.22). Recent form heavily favors Norway: 11/18 pts vs Iraq's 7/18; Norway averages 2.2 goals scored vs Iraq's 0.7, and 1.0 conceded vs Iraq's 1.2. Iraq is on a 1-match losing streak (0-2 vs Venezuela) with 50% failed-to-score rate. Norway's 83% BTTS rate reflects attacking prowess, but Iraq's weak offense (0.7 avg) and 50% FTS rate suggest Norway will dominate possession and limit Iraq's chances. Expected goals favor Norway significantly. However, extreme odds (1.22) already price in high probability; confidence capped at Medium due to World Cup volatility and no H2H data.

Norway's superior recent form (2.2 goals/match vs 0.7) and Iraq's weak attack justify away win despite extreme odds.

Iraq's 50% failed-to-score rate and 0.7 average goals scored make both-teams-to-score unlikely; Norway will likely dominate.

Iraq's weak offense (0.7 avg, 17% O2.5 rate) and defensive solidity (1.2 conceded) suggest a low-scoring Norway win.

Norway win or draw covers 92% of outcomes; Iraq's poor form makes home win extremely unlikely.